REAL vs “LIE” Breakeven UIkitVA / IRRRL

Heads up:
Many loan officers push “take the higher rate now and refinance later” because:
  • Lower upfront sticker price (fewer points) is easier to approve and sell.
  • Keeps loans within rate-sheet constraints and moves more volume quickly.
  • Compensation is tied to closing today’s loan; a refi later can be a second origination.
  • It punts risk to “future rates will drop,” which may not happen.
Common pitfall: The breakeven many quote ignores the cost of refinancing (points + third-party fees + possible term reset). This tool shows the “LIE” (ignores refi costs) vs the REAL breakeven (includes them).

Program & Loan


Buydown at Purchase


Refinance Later


PMI & VA Options


Assumptions
  • Breakeven uses P&I payments for savings; totals also consider PMI (if any) and explicit points/fees over your horizon.
  • VA sets PMI=$0; optional IRRRL = 0 refi points and a low IRRRL fee.
  • Not modeled: taxes/insurance/MIP funding fee, prepaids, tax effects, opportunity cost.